Tariffs and Casualty Insurance: Navigating the Ripple Effects

JULY 28, 2025

As global trade tensions persist into mid-2025, tariffs continue to reshape supply chains, pricing structures, and operational risk across industries. These developments are not only affecting the costs and availability of goods but are also introducing new challenges for casualty insurance and risk management. By proactively adjusting risk financing, refining exposure assessments, and tightening claims management, organizations can better navigate this evolving terrain.

Auto Liability and Physical Damage

Tariffs have disrupted the availability and costs of automotive replacement parts, driving up repair expenses and delaying claims resolution. These delays not only increase claims costs and accruals but also contribute to rising insurance premiums. The anticipated surge in expedited shipping over the next 90 days — driven by supply chain bottlenecks — may further strain logistics, increasing driving hours and accident frequency.

Risk Management Strategies:

  • Reevaluate risk financing structures, including higher deductibles or self-insurance for auto physical damage (APD).
  • Conduct reviews of exposure bases and safety protocols.
  • Scrutinize lease and financing agreements for risk implications.
  • Launch detailed claims reviews and closure initiatives.
  • Leverage the USI PATH® framework for structured mitigation.

General, Products, and Umbrella Liability

Tariffs are prompting contract revisions that shift liability between parties. Simultaneously, supply chain compromises may lead to diminished product quality. These factors, combined with rising material costs and reduced sales orders, are inflating claims and accruals.

Risk Management Strategies:

  • Conduct thorough reviews of contractual language and classification.
  • Align premium exposure bases with actual risk.
  • Explore alternative risk financing options.
  • Reassess policy limits and per-location/project aggregates.
  • Implement claims reviews and policy alignment reviews.

Workers’ Compensation

Tariff-induced economic pressures are leading to job eliminations, workforce shortages, and operational changes — all of which can elevate workers’ compensation risks. Increased claims costs and potential fraud further complicate the landscape.

Risk Management Strategies:

  • Ensure claims are thoroughly investigated to confirm they are work-related.
  • Analyze classification codes, payroll, and experience modification (e-mod) factors.
  • Explore alternative risk financing options.
  • Conduct detailed claims reviews focused on timely claim closure.
  • Apply the USI PATH® methodology to streamline response.

For more information, contact your USI representative or email pcinquiries@usi.com.